Texas drought surpasses 1918 as State’s 2nd-worst on record; 1950s’ drought still most severe

10 08 2011

The Associate Press reported the following on August 9, 2011:

Texas is officially in the midst of its second-worst drought on record.  National Weather Service meteorologist Victor Murphy said Tuesday that this year’s drought has now surpassed one that ended in 1918 as the second-driest period in the state.

Texas’ most severe overall drought remains one that persisted from 1950-1957. The state climatologist last week declared the current drought the state’s most severe one-year drought on record.  Texas saw less than an inch of rain statewide in July, and more than 90 percent of the state already is in the two most extreme stages of drought. It has endured its driest 10 consecutive months on record.   A newly updated weather map shows the drought holding firm through at least October.

Michael Norris, file/AP Bottom of Pond near Amarillo Texas

 




An interesting way to view the Texas Drought graphically….

9 08 2011

YouTube:   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=58S0cmdfoKg

(Make sure you turn up your volume knob so you can hear the accompanying music!)

Thanks to Lach Mullen of the Fort Bend County Office of Emegency Management, please enjoy an animation of the KBDI Drought Index for the State of Texas from January 1, 2009 to August 8, 2011. 

Images are from the Texas Forest Service and the Texas A&M University’s Texas Weather Connection.  Link: http://twc.tamu.edu/drought/kbdi





Drought Conditions Worsen in Fort Bend County

9 08 2011

There has been little or no rain in Fort Bend County in recent weeks.  The little bit of showers that occurred about a week ago are now a distant memory.  The KBDI level is now well over 700 indicating that we are experiencing “absolutely dry conditions.”  And so is the rest of our region and the rest of the State of Texas.  As of today, 10 of the 13 counties that make up the Houston-Galveston Area Council have KBDI levels over 700; and two other counties are fast approaching that level.

The dry conditions are only exacerbated by the daily Heat Advisories in the County.  Afternoon temperatures will likely exceed  triple digits again for what seems like about two weeks in a row; and the upper level high pressure will continue bring well above normal temperatures and heat index values between 105 degrees and 110 degrees.  So far this week, the electrical grid seems to be handling the load, but when temperatures are this high, a strain is put on electrical demands across the area. 

Last week, rolling blackouts were barely avoided when electrical usage soared to new record heights across the State of Texas.  Temperatures are remaining very warm at night so nobody gets much relief from the heat when outside.

Cattle at Mason Briscoe's Ranch in Rosenberg

There have been some heat related deaths in the State, but fortunately not in Fort Bend County yet.  Problems persist for those in the agricultural and farming trades.  As reported by Jeff Osborne in the Fort Bend Herald on July 30th, the heat and lack of rain is devastating the ranching industry.  He writes:

Rain Hardly Helps Drought

Dave Scott of Richmond, former president of the Texas and Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association, said this year’s drought has caused nothing less than a disaster to plague area farmers and ranchers.

Echoing the comments of many others in the agriculture industry, Scott said this year’s drought is the worst he’s ever seen.

“When you have people like Hilmar Moore selling cattle that says it all,” Scott said.

And the bad news just keeps coming.

“The farmers are probably hit even worse than the cattle people,” he said. “If it stays this way, a lot of people are going to struggle and suffer.”

Scott said there’s very little hay on the market in Texas. And what little hay is available is very expensive.

“Hay that sold for $40 a roll last year costs $70 to $75 right now,” he said.

“They’re shipping some hay out of Arkansas (to Texas ranchers), but the problem with those big round bales is that you have to invest so much money in freight costs. It’s very, very expensive.”

Scott said he can’t think of anyone raising cattle who hasn’t had to sell at least some of their herd.

“We’ve had to cull 2 to 2 1/2 times more than we usually sell at auction,” he said.

“In North and Central Texas, they’re telling people not to bring their cattle to sell. They already have more than they can handle. Fortunately, we haven’t gotten quite that bad around here yet.”

Scott said recent rains might help some farmers and ranchers, “but we’re almost down to the bare dirt. The grass is gone. So people are having to lighten up on (the number of cattle they have).”

Mason Briscoe, who owns Fort Bend County Feed & Farm Supply in Rosenberg, also raises cattle.

“This drought has hurt us in a whole lot of different ways,” he said. “One of the main things is I had to sell calves 2 or 3 months early this summer. “There’s just very little grass.

“The price of cotton seed hulls has gone up a lot, and they don’t even have any available until they can harvest and process the cotton. All the feed has gone sky high, too. It’s rough.”

He said the cost of range cubes for cattle has increased $3 to $4 “and nobody can afford to feed, and now’s the time we need to feed the most, because we haven’t got any grass.”

Scott said there’s little farmers and ranchers can do, except cut their losses and hold on for better days – if possible.

“Everybody is living day-to-day waiting for the next big rain,” he said. “And even then, we wonder if it’s going to be enough.”





Drought Stunts Fort Bend County Crops

26 07 2011

The drought continues in Fort Bend County.  Small wildfire occurred today and some utility districts are implementing voluntary water conservation methods.  But, so far, the drought being experienced in our county is causing the most problems for ranchers and farmers.  Jeff Osborne, reporter for the Fort Bend Herald, reported on the adverse effects in an article published on July 16, 2011.  The article is copied below.

Fields are full of cotton, but Fort Bend County farmers and ranchers are reeling from a record drought that has eclipsed the 2009 disaster.  Local farmers harvested more than 35,000 acres of cotton in 2010, and Allen Malone, county extension agent-agriculture and natural resources, said about the same acreage was planted this year, although farmers might not get the same yields.

Cotton production has a major impact on the economy of Fort Bend County.”It’s very, very important to our county,” Malone said. “Cotton is one of the top production crops in our county, and a lot of people rely on that.  If the crop suffers, the farmers struggle and local businesses are also affected.”

Also of note is that the cotton plants are blooming while they are much shorter.

“The lack of rainfall kind of stunts the growth of the plants, and they don’t get as tall,” Malone said. “Because they don’t get to the height they normally would, they’re under a lot of stress and won’t produce like they normally would.”

Recent rains have brought some relief, but Malone said the drought has already done it’s damage.  “In most instances, it’s too little, too late,” he said. “This rain was needed earlier in the growing season. Every little bit helps farmers who might have planted a bit later. But late rainfalls aren’t very helpful to many of our farmers.”

Other area crops which have been hampered by the drought include grain sorghum (or milo), soybeans, rice and corn.  Local ranchers are also suffering.

“The hay crop has suffered tremendously because we haven’t had enough rainfall,” Malone said.

“This is probably the worst it’s been in 40 years. In a lot of instances, ranchers are having to cull their herds and sell some of their cattle. It’s been a difficult year.”





Drought devastating to Fort Bend County cattle ranchers

18 06 2011

Cynthia Cisneros, KTRK-Houston, reported about the economic affects of the drought in our area.  Here is the transcript from her June 16th news report:

Ranchers in Fort Bend County say they are having to take extreme measures to deal with the extreme drought.  It’s not just homeowners who are having to watch their grass turn brown because of the lack of rainfall. Local ranchers say they seeing the same thing as well. But for them, the grass is food for cattle and without it, their herds can suffer.

What’s happening at the T&M Ranch outside of Richmond is happening to cattle ranchers all across Texas.  The cows have been fussing all morning. They are mooing, says the rancher, because he’s thinning his herd by removing the calves from their mothers. It’s an extreme decision Tim Wiethat made to save the rest of his herd. There’s just not enough grass, and the pastures have dried up from the drought.

“We’d normally ship these calves in October and hopefully they’d weigh 650 to 700 pounds. Right now, they’re weighing 400 pounds. We’re getting them off the cattle to try and get the cattle to breed back. Basically, we’re running out of grass,” said Wiethat.

He’s one of many ranchers in Ft. Bend Co. culling their herds. The usually lush pastures are brown and dusty, leaving smaller areas for forage and a smaller chance for profit this year.  Tom Dompier has been moving his cows from one pasture to another, going wherever there is grass.

“There is a sense of impending doom. In order for the cattle to survive, I’m going to have to sell the cattle. We don’t get enough rain, get enough feed — I don’t want to sit here and watch them die,” said Dompier.  He says he has plenty of well water pumped to troughs, but it is his hay barn that worries him. His winter supply is a resource Dompier says he’s forced to use now.

“This is left over from last year, and I’ve got a few bale in here from this year, and that’s all I’ve got right now,” said Dompier. “If I start using it this summer, I’m not going to have any hay for the winter.”  That is a dilemma, the USDA says, that is happening to cattle ranchers all across the state.





Local farmers, ranchers in Fort Bend County are feeling effect of hot weather

17 06 2011

Good article from Cory Stottlemyer, yourfortbendnews.com, posted today.  The article gives insight to how life in Fort Bend County is affected by day after day of extreme summer-like conditions that have arrived early this year.

No matter how long a person has been a resident of the greater-Houston area, it is nearly impossible to become adjusted to the extremely intense summer heat and humidity. No matter how much area residents prepare themselves or falsely believe they have become accustomed to the heat, summer in Fort Bend hits hard and moves in quickly, before some residents have time to register spring or forget about the winter holidays.

This year, however, the usual summer thunderstorms that typically offer a brief moment of relief from the heat are absent this year. The weather is no longer approached with mild humor or annoyance. For many local farmers, gardeners and cattle ranchers, this year’s drought has hit them in the pocket book and slowed down production.

Vendors at the Wild West Farmers Market in Richmond admitted to being affected by the drought to varying degrees. Ranging from large cattle vendors to retirees who sell produce as a hobby, the drought has impacted each of them in some way.

“Well, the drought has really affected me with production. Every speck of water that it’s taken to grow these crops, I put it on there. No rain whatsoever for this spring,” said Teddy Triplett, a retired heavy equipment operator who grows and sells produce at the Wild West Market every Sunday. “And of course we always like to rotate when so many rows are producing. We try to plant some more. We haven’t been able to do that.”

Despite frequently experiencing several weeks-long droughts in the past, Triplett, who owns a two-acre plot in Manvel, did not hesitate to call this year’s the worst one ever. With Harris County only receiving 5.68 inches the entire year as of Monday, his assumption is not far from true. The lack of rain has not put his hobby to an end, but it has not made things easy for him.

“I use the drip irrigation. If it wasn’t for that I’d be out of business,” Triplett said. “Anytime you run a pump, you know, it costs you. Not only does it cost you in the production, but your crops don’t produce as much. One good rain beats all the irrigation you could do.”

Waller-based Texas grassfeed beef sellers Don Hill and Hansjörg Abt offered a different perspective to the drought affecting the area. Their company is based around their cattle eating grass, which has quickly stopped growing because of the drought, forcing them to purchase grass feed.

“We have to supplement their diet with organic hay. That has been really expensive with the demand of hay right now,” Hill said. Abt and Hill also said that they have had to work with a smaller herd but are still putting in the same amount of work. As Hill explained, “it’s the same input but half of the output.”

Not everyone has been affected negatively, however. Pam Nawara, who owns more than five acres of farmland in Rosenberg, has an irrigation system set up to two lakes on her property, which she said has helped her farm.

“We got one lake that’s 20 feet, and it’s not real low yet. We have a small lake and then a bigger lake. We’re drawing water out of the bigger lake because the smaller one has less water in it,” Nawara said.

“Probably in July, if it hasn’t rained then we’ll probably have to draw out of a well.”

Unlike some of her fellow vendors, Nawara’s produce is still growing strong and on schedule, partly because she grows them in above-ground black boxes. It seems almost fitting that her station at the Wild West Farmers Market is located next to the owners of 444 Triple Grow, an organic gardening soil company, who has also learned how to combat the drought.

Owners of the company, who sell their soil by the bucket, are trying to advertise their product to gardeners and farmers struggling with the current dry weather.

“The type of soil that we use for keeping in moisture – we use a Canadian Sphagnum moss – and it is very superior material to take the moisture and just stays,” said Chou Symmes, one of the company owners. “When you talk about drought, this is the answer for that.”

Despite only selling their product commercially for two months, the Tomball-based business has sparked some interest with those looking for any way to improve their crop’s production. Symmes’ husband Edgar Poe Symmes said that while the drought might be harming others, it’s been a blessing of sorts to him and his company.

“From an economic standpoint, this soil consumes less water and is less labor-intensive,” Edgar Poe Symmes, Chou’s husband, said. “We’ve been very fortunate to be able to capitalize and help people suffering from the drought.”





More About the Keetch-Byram Drought Index…..

16 06 2011

In my last post, I explained KBDI; the Keetch-Byram Drought Index.  Today, I am posting information about what the KBDI levels are in the counties in the Houston-Galveston area.  Any number over 600 indicates a severe drought with increased possibility of wildfire occurrence.  As you can readily tell, the levels in our 13 county region are largely over 700.  In fact, the 14 day forecast indicates that all 13 counties will soon be over the 700 level. 

As the KBDI levels increase, it becomes more and more prudent for local governments to give consideration to restrictions on the use of fireworks.  Limitations on fireworks describe as “rockets on sticks” and “missiles with fins” have now become commonplace in our area.  Many counties in Central and Western Texas have completely banned the use of fireworks.  These counties include Bexar, El Paso, Hays, Lubbock, Potter, Randall, Travis, and Williamson.

 

KBDI LEVELS IN H-GAC COUNTIES

COUNTY

6/13

6/14

6/15

6/16

Austin

708

712

715

718

Brazoria

740

742

745

747

Chambers

715

719

722

726

Colorado

696

700

703

707

Fort Bend

699

703

706

710

Galveston

672

676

680

684

Harris

725

728

731

734

Liberty

716

720

724

728

Matagorda

659

663

667

671

Montgomery 

736

739

742

745

Walker

683

688

694

699

Waller

698

701

705

709

Wharton

667

671

675

679

 





Fireworks Banned in Unincorporated Fort Bend County

14 06 2011

Fort Bend County Commissioners passed an order prohibiting the sale and use of restricted fireworks June 14 in court.  The order was necessary given the extreme dry conditions across the County.  Though some citizens may feel this is unfair restriction that will reduce their enjoyment of the July 4th holiday, I think it is very important to realize why a restriction was placed on the sale and use of aerial-type fireworks.

The order prohibits certain fireworks from being sold and/or used in the unincorporated areas of Fort Bend County and was initiated from the drought conditions that are being experienced across the region.  The order specifically prohibits the sale or use of “sky rockets with sticks” and “missiles with fins” from being sold or used. It has been determined that the restrictions are needed for these types of fireworks due to the lack of rainfall over an extended period of time and as a method for mitigating the threat of dangerous fires.

How dry is Fort Bend County?  Before you answer that question, it is necessary to understand how “dryness” is measured.  A standard measure used is the Keetch-Byram Drought Index.  This Index, commonly referred to as “KBDI,” was created by John L. Keetch and George Byram as a way of measuring specifically for fire potential.  It is a number representing the net effect of evapotranspiration and precipitation in producing cumulative moisture deficiency in upper soil layer.  It is a continuous Index relating the the flammability of organic material in the ground.

The KBDI attempts to measure the amount of precipitation necessary to return the soil to full field capacity. It is a closed system ranging from 0 to 800 units and represents a moisture regime from 0 to 8 inches of water through the soil layer. At 8 inches of water, the KBDI assumes saturation. Zero is the point of no moisture deficiency and 800 is the maximum drought that is possible. At any point along the scale, the index number indicates the amount of net rainfall that is required to reduce the index to zero, or saturation.

KBDI levels and its relationship to expected fire potential are reflected in the following table:

 • KBDI = 0 – 200: Soil moisture and large class fuel moistures are high and do not contribute much to fire intensity. Typical of spring dormant seasonfollowing winter precipitation.

 • KBDI = 200 – 400: Typical of late spring, early growing season. Lower litter and duff layers are drying and beginning to contribute to fire intensity

KBDI = 400 – 600: Typical of late summer, early fall. Lower litter and duff layers contribute to fire intensity and will burn actively.

KBDI = 600 – 800: Often associated with more severe drought with increased wildfire occurrence. Intense, deep-burning fires with significant downwind spotting can be expected. Live fuels can also be expected to burn actively at these levels.

So, now that you understand KBDI—- Fort Bend County’s level on the KBDI is currently 703.  This number is rising; and with little or no chance of significant rain in near future, the number will likely continue to rise.  Just for comparison, here is the KBDI level for some of our neighboring counties:  Austin–712; Brazoria–742; Harris–728; Waller–701; and Wharton–671.  Perhaps you now understand why local government officials in our area are taking steps to limit use of fireworks during the upcoming holiday season.





City of Katy Asks Residents to Cut Water Use

8 06 2011

Severe drought conditions are affecting Fort Bend County communities.  Recently the City of Pearland, a portion of which is located in Fort Bend County, announced voluntary measures to reduce water usage.  The City of Katy is now forced to do the same thing.  As reported by Karen Hastings, Houston Chronicle, on June 7, 2011:

Katy city officials have announced voluntary restrictions to counter a spike in drought-fueled water consumption.

As residents attempt to resuscitate parched lawns, city wells have been pumping an average of 4.5 million gallons per day – a 50 percent increase over normal May pumpage rates, Public Works Director Elaine Lutringer said.

While that rate is enough to trigger formal Stage Two mandatory restrictions under the city’s 2002 Drought Contingency Plan, Katy officials believe those triggers are outdated, given the city’s recent population increase and the capacity of the water system.

“Our citizens and businesses are so good at working with the city that we want to ask for voluntary restrictions first,” Lutringer said. “As we assess daily, that could change.”

The voluntary restrictions remained in effect June 7.

As described on the city’s website, informal voluntary restrictions ask that residents use minimal water and irrigate their yards before 7 a.m. and after 7 p.m.

A voluntary move to irrigate only in early morning and evening hours can have a significant effect on daily usage, Assistant City Administrator Bill Drohan said. It evens out the system load and means less stress on water pumps, he said.

“Normally during the night, your wells usually rest. We would rather that they run a little bit at night than running so hard during the day,” Drohan said.

Watering during cooler hours also cuts down on evaporation and is actually more effective, he added. “It’s actually a better use of the water.”

The city also urged residents to check for water leaks around their residence or business.

A notice on the city website mentions extremely dry weather and hot temperatures. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, this area is experiencing the highest-level “exceptional drought” conditions, along with more than half of the rest of the state.

“Whenever you see a significant increase (in water use), it’s usually in the heat, and for the most part it’s from watering yards and trying to keep lawns alive,” Drohan said. “Our normal human consumption usually stays the same year-round.”

Drohan and Lutringer said the city is in no danger of running out of water and that voluntary efforts could prevent the need for mandatory restriction.

“As far as our water pumpage and water aquifer levels, we are fine at this point,” Lutringer said. “We have the storage capacity; so we’re not running into problems with our capacity.”

“This is more just waking people up, telling them to think about conservation,” Drohan added. “These are precautions you take when you see certain patterns start. You’re still able to water your yard; we’re just asking you to do it during times of low consumption. Water is precious, and during a drought it’s even more precious.”

The city operates a total of six water-well plants in Harris, Fort Bend and Waller counties. Each plant includes ground and elevated storage tanks. The city has roughly 5.6 million gallons of storage in its ground tanks, and 2.4 million in its elevated tanks.

Water levels in the corresponding aquifers are a deciding factor in how much the city can pump each day, Lutringer said.

“Our water levels are fine right now,” she stressed.

 




Fort Bend County Facing “Exceptional” Drought

17 07 2009

Article published by FortBendNow.com, written by Bob Dunn, July 17, 2009

Withering after six weeks of dry weather reaching into at least the high 90s, more than half of Fort Bend County now is experiencing “exceptional” drought, and the rest faces “extreme” drought.  The National Weather Service predicts a 40% chance of precipitation over the weekend, but even a day’s hard rain is too little and too late to reverse the ruinous effects the heat wave has had on many local farmers’ crops.

Unfortunately, this year’s searing summer may be just the first of many more to come. A Texas A&M University climate expert believes summers such as this one will become more the norm than the exception.  Dr. Gerald North, a distinguished professor of atmospheric sciences and oceanography, told the university’s AgriLife News service that climate models show “the tropical climates will expand northward.”

Annual storm belts that have made June the wettest month of the year in Fort Bend and other Texas counties will begin flowing across counties to the north, North indicated. Counties below that storm belt will be left dry.”It could be just a fluke that persists for a decade,” North told AgriLife’s Robert Burns. “But my guess is that it’s here to stay, but with fluctuations up and down.”

More than 40 south and southeastern Texas counties, including Fort Bend, now are in “exceptional” drought, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.  Local farmers have begun harvesting field corn and sorghum with “marginal” yields, according to Texas A&M crop reports. Some of those fields were so burned out by the weather that farmers have begun baling the corn for hay.

Local pasture conditions now are rated “extremely poor,” and ranchers have been liquidating their herds as a result.  “Texas farmers and ranchers are some of the most resilient people I have ever known,” Texas Agriculture Commissioner Todd Stables said in a statement. “Our producers have been hit hard with a triple threat, starting with Hurricane Ike, then with our nation’s current economic calamity, and now one of the worst droughts our state has seen in years.  “We hope God will bless us with moisture to relieve some of the pressure facing our producers.”

Farmers looking for financial help in recovering from the drought my consider a low-interest emergency loan program offered by the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Farm Service Agency. Loans now at about 3.75% can be used for restoring or replacing property, family living expenses, production costs associated with the drought, reorganizing a farming operation and refinancing some debts.  Information on the program can be obtained by emailing Brenda Carlson, a public affairs specialist for the USDA.








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