Noted Hurricane Forecasters Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray (Colorado State University) forsee average activity for the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season. As of April 7, 2009, their Extended Range Forecast anticipates an average probability of a major hurricane landfall in the United States. The forecast is available at the following link: http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/
Specifically, the 2009 Forecast projects 12 Named Storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes. For those of us along the Gulf Coast, Klotzbach and Gray indicate a 31% probability for at least one major hurricane (Category 3-5) to make landfall along the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville. It is interesting to note that the average for the last century is 30%).
The next update from Klotzbach and Gray will be on Tuesday, June 2nd. These seasonal updates will be available at the web link listed above.