Drought and Fire Danger Continues in Fort Bend County—but rain may be on its way

19 06 2011

As you can tell from the chart below, the KBDI continues to increase in our region.  As I blogged about previously, the higher that number, the more chance for wildfires.   KBDI levels and its relationship to expected fire potential are reflected in the following table:

KBDI = 0 – 200: Soil moisture and large class fuel moistures are high and do not contribute much to fire intensity. Typical of spring dormant season following winter precipitation.

KBDI = 200 – 400: Typical of late spring, early growing season. Lower litter and duff layers are drying and beginning to contribute to fire intensity

KBDI = 400 – 600: Typical of late summer, early fall. Lower litter and duff layers contribute to fire intensity and will burn actively.

KBDI = 600 – 800: Often associated with more severe drought with increased wildfire occurrence. Intense, deep-burning fires with significant downwind spotting can be expected. Live fuels can also be expected to burn actively at these levels.

Here are the numbers for our region.  Notice the steady increase in the KBDI level for all counties within our region.  It remains to be seen if our area will see any relief. 

COUNTY

6/13

6/14

6/15

6/16

6/17

6/18

6/19

Austin

708

712

715

718

721

725

728

Brazoria

740

742

745

747

750

752

754

Chambers

715

719

722

726

729

732

735

Colorado

696

700

703

707

710

714

718

Fort Bend

699

703

706

710

714

717

720

Galveston

672

676

680

684

688

691

695

Harris

725

728

731

734

737

740

742

Liberty

716

720

724

728

732

736

739

Matagorda

659

663

667

671

675

679

683

Montgomery 

736

739

742

745

748

750

753

Walker

683

688

694

699

704

709

714

Waller

698

701

705

709

712

716

719

Wharton

667

671

675

679

683

687

691

Weather forecasters are giving us all some hope for rain in the coming week.  There is a disturbance moving to the west-northwest to northwest in to the Bay of Campeche and into the western Gulf of Mexico over the next 3-5 days.  Forecasters are indicating that the system could provide shower and thunderstorm activity along the northwestern Gulf Coast by the middle to the end of this week.  Keep your fingers crossed!

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